Independiente vs Gimnasia La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
IND
53%
25%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ARS
1 - 2
IND
24%
27%
48%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
IND
2 - 1
FLA
46%
27%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
IND
3 - 1
LIB
57%
25%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
RAC
0 - 1
IND
44%
27%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
RAC
3 - 1
GLP
60%
24%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
GLP
2 - 1
RIV
33%
25%
42%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
BEL
2 - 0
GLP
38%
30%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
GLP
2 - 0
PAT
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
GLP
33%
30%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |