Independiente vs Gimnasia La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
SLO
2 - 1
IND
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
RIV
4 - 0
IND
69%
19%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
IND
1 - 2
COL
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
OLI
0 - 2
IND
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
IND
0 - 0
ARS
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
GLP
0 - 2
NOB
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
EST
1 - 0
GLP
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
GLP
0 - 2
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
RAF
4 - 0
GLP
28%
27%
46%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
GLP
2 - 2
TAL
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |