Independiente vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2000 |
PAL
2 - 0
IND
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
CEN
1 - 1
IND
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2000 |
IND
2 - 0
CRZ
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
IND
2 - 1
COL
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2000 |
IND
3 - 0
UCO
53%
22%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
EST
0 - 0
NOB
41%
25%
33%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
CEN
2 - 3
EST
68%
20%
13%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
GLP
3 - 2
EST
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
EST
2 - 0
COL
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
CAU
0 - 1
EST
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |