Independiente vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
13%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1984 |
IND
1 - 0
CEN
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
SLO
2 - 1
IND
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1984 |
CEN
1 - 1
IND
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
IND
2 - 1
PLA
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1984 |
IND
2 - 0
LQE
99%
1%
0%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1984 |
TAL
1 - 1
EST
54%
25%
22%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
PLA
0 - 0
EST
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1984 |
EST
0 - 1
TAL
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
EST
1 - 0
BOC
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1984 |
EST
1 - 1
LQE
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |