Independiente vs Deportivo Táchira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
5.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1987 |
IND
2 - 0
EST
88%
8%
4%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1987 |
CEN
0 - 0
IND
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1987 |
EST
0 - 1
IND
17%
21%
63%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1987 |
TAC
3 - 2
IND
17%
21%
62%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
IND
3 - 3
VEL
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Táchira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1987 |
CEN
3 - 2
TAC
78%
13%
8%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1987 |
TAC
3 - 2
EST
57%
22%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1987 |
TAC
0 - 0
CEN
33%
25%
43%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1987 |
TAC
3 - 2
IND
17%
21%
62%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
BLO
6 - 3
TAC
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |