Independiente vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CAU
0 - 0
IND
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
IND
3 - 0
TAL
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
SAR
2 - 0
IND
37%
29%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
IND
0 - 0
VSC
73%
19%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
BAN
3 - 3
IND
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
RSA
1 - 1
SAC
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CSE
3 - 1
RSA
30%
29%
41%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2014 |
RSA
3 - 0
MAI
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GBR
2 - 0
RSA
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
RSA
1 - 0
ALV
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |