Independiente vs Dep. Español analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
16.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19.5%
2-0
18.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.9%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.8%
2.7%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
IND
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
IND
2 - 0
RAF
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
TEM
0 - 1
IND
23%
28%
50%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
IND
3 - 1
OLI
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 1
IND
51%
26%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 1
ESP
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 1
UAI
46%
27%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
MER
1 - 0
ESP
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 1
BRO
32%
28%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
COL
1 - 1
ESP
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |