Independiente vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
39.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
IND
2 - 1
COL
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2000 |
IND
3 - 0
UCO
53%
22%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
VEL
1 - 1
IND
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
IND
0 - 1
RIV
34%
25%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2000 |
IND
1 - 2
PAL
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
GRE
0 - 0
CRZ
35%
26%
39%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2000 |
CRZ
4 - 0
BOT
67%
18%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
CRZ
2 - 1
GAM
90%
7%
3%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2000 |
PAL
0 - 2
CRZ
55%
23%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
CRZ
1 - 1
SCI
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |