Independiente vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1975 |
IND
1 - 1
VEL
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1975 |
IND
2 - 0
CEN
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
IND
4 - 1
RAC
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1975 |
CRZ
2 - 0
IND
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1975 |
ARG
2 - 0
IND
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1975 |
CEN
3 - 1
CRZ
59%
22%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1975 |
CRZ
2 - 0
IND
62%
23%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1975 |
CRZ
2 - 0
CEN
58%
25%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1975 |
CRZ
2 - 1
CAL
66%
18%
15%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
CRZ
2 - 3
NAC
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |