Independiente vs Colón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2000 |
IND
3 - 0
UCO
53%
22%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
VEL
1 - 1
IND
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
IND
0 - 1
RIV
34%
25%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2000 |
IND
1 - 2
PAL
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
LAN
2 - 1
IND
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2000 |
COL
1 - 0
CEN
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
EST
2 - 0
COL
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2000 |
VEL
1 - 1
COL
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
COL
1 - 2
RIV
26%
24%
50%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
LAN
0 - 2
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |