Copa Libertadores Final
Global 3-2
Independiente vs Colo-Colo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
10.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1973 |
IND
1 - 2
HUR
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
EST
1 - 2
IND
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1973 |
IND
1 - 0
SLO
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
IND
2 - 2
VEL
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1973 |
SLO
2 - 2
IND
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1973 |
COL
3 - 3
BOT
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1973 |
COL
4 - 0
CCP
57%
20%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1973 |
CCP
5 - 1
COL
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1973 |
BOT
1 - 2
COL
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1973 |
COL
5 - 1
EME
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |