Independiente vs Chacarita Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
GLP
2 - 1
IND
54%
23%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
IND
0 - 1
COL
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
SLO
0 - 1
IND
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
IND
2 - 0
BEL
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
NOB
3 - 2
IND
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chacarita Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
CHA
1 - 1
VEL
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
BAN
1 - 0
CHA
40%
27%
34%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
CHA
1 - 1
BOC
25%
24%
52%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
CHI
1 - 1
CHA
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
CHA
2 - 1
EST
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |