Independiente vs Central Ballester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
5.9%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2018 |
IND
2 - 0
LAR
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
MIL
1 - 1
IND
39%
29%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
CAU
1 - 0
IND
33%
28%
39%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
IND
2 - 2
GLP
64%
24%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
COR
1 - 2
IND
52%
27%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Central Ballester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
ARM
3 - 2
CBA
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
DPA
3 - 0
CBA
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -3 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
CBA
3 - 1
YUP
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
CBA
2 - 2
LAM
30%
27%
43%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
CLA
1 - 2
CBA
32%
27%
42%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |