Independiente vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 1978 |
IND
2 - 3
BAN
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1978 |
IND
0 - 0
RIV
55%
23%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1978 |
PLA
1 - 2
IND
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1978 |
NAC
1 - 2
IND
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1978 |
LIG
1 - 0
IND
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 1978 |
RIV
2 - 0
NAC
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1978 |
NAC
2 - 0
LIG
51%
22%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 1978 |
NAC
1 - 2
IND
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 1978 |
NAC
1 - 1
RIV
39%
25%
37%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1977 |
SCI
2 - 0
NAC
78%
14%
9%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |