Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
38.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
EST
1 - 0
IND
46%
29%
25%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
IND
3 - 0
RAF
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
BEL
0 - 2
IND
44%
27%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
IND
0 - 0
PAT
62%
24%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
INS
1 - 2
IND
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 1
ARS
55%
25%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
TIG
0 - 1
VEL
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 2
EST
78%
16%
7%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
SLO
2 - 3
VEL
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 0
COL
61%
23%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |