Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
RAF
1 - 3
IND
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
IND
0 - 1
COL
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 0
IND
39%
28%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
IND
2 - 1
SMA
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
IND
0 - 1
BOC
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 2
SLO
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
NOB
1 - 1
VEL
27%
28%
45%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 1
CAU
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
VEL
4 - 0
ARG
55%
24%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 1
VEL
30%
27%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |