Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
IND
1 - 0
SLO
40%
27%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
BOC
2 - 0
IND
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
IND
1 - 1
RIV
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
IND
4 - 0
RAC
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
IND
1 - 2
ARS
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
LAN
2 - 0
VEL
55%
23%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
TAL
0 - 2
VEL
26%
26%
49%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
HUR
3 - 0
VEL
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
VEL
0 - 2
LAN
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
NOB
1 - 0
VEL
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |