Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
RIV
3 - 1
IND
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
IND
2 - 1
LAN
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
HUR
2 - 1
IND
31%
27%
43%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2001 |
IND
2 - 1
ALM
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
BEL
0 - 0
IND
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2001 |
CEN
2 - 0
VEL
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
VEL
1 - 1
CEN
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
COL
2 - 0
VEL
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2001 |
VEL
2 - 0
JUN
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
VEL
1 - 1
EST
65%
21%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |