Independiente vs Tigre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
SLO
0 - 1
IND
42%
29%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
IND
1 - 1
NOB
57%
25%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
CAU
0 - 0
IND
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
IND
4 - 0
COL
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
IND
3 - 0
OLI
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tigre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
TIG
1 - 3
VEL
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
SLO
1 - 0
TIG
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
TIG
4 - 2
DYJ
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
TIG
3 - 0
RAF
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
NOB
0 - 1
TIG
36%
28%
37%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |