Independiente vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
COL
1 - 0
IND
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
IND
0 - 1
VEL
48%
25%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
RIV
3 - 1
IND
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
IND
2 - 1
LAN
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
HUR
2 - 1
IND
31%
27%
43%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2001 |
UNI
1 - 1
CEN
26%
24%
50%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
EST
3 - 0
CEN
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
CEN
0 - 0
COL
55%
23%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2001 |
CEN
2 - 0
VEL
55%
23%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
VEL
1 - 1
CEN
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |