Independiente vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1987 |
IND
5 - 0
TAC
84%
10%
6%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1987 |
IND
2 - 0
EST
88%
8%
4%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1987 |
CEN
0 - 0
IND
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1987 |
EST
0 - 1
IND
17%
21%
63%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1987 |
TAC
3 - 2
IND
17%
21%
62%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1987 |
CEN
5 - 2
EST
84%
11%
6%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1987 |
CEN
3 - 2
TAC
78%
13%
8%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1987 |
CEN
0 - 0
IND
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1987 |
TAC
0 - 0
CEN
33%
25%
43%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1987 |
EST
0 - 3
CEN
32%
24%
44%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |