Independiente vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 1978 |
PLA
1 - 2
IND
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1978 |
NAC
1 - 2
IND
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1978 |
LIG
1 - 0
IND
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1978 |
IND
1 - 1
QUI
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
HUR
1 - 0
IND
47%
25%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1978 |
LIG
0 - 0
RIV
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1978 |
NAC
1 - 1
RIV
39%
25%
37%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
RIV
0 - 0
RAC
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
GLP
2 - 1
RIV
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
RIV
0 - 0
CAU
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |