Independiente vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
ARG
4 - 3
IND
50%
26%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
IND
2 - 3
BOC
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
HUR
0 - 0
IND
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BAN
1 - 3
IND
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
IND
0 - 1
SLO
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2010 |
LAN
3 - 2
SLO
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
GLP
0 - 0
LAN
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
LAN
4 - 1
ARS
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
COL
1 - 1
LAN
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
LAN
0 - 0
UNI
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |