Independiente vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
RIV
1 - 0
IND
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
IND
1 - 3
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
GLP
2 - 1
IND
54%
23%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
IND
0 - 1
COL
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
SLO
0 - 1
IND
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
LAN
1 - 1
VEL
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
BAN
2 - 2
LAN
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
LAN
1 - 0
BOC
24%
24%
52%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
CHI
1 - 1
LAN
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
LAN
1 - 1
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |