Independiente vs CA Huracán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
RIV
2 - 1
IND
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
IND
1 - 0
CHA
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
COL
1 - 1
IND
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
IND
1 - 3
VEL
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
NOB
2 - 2
IND
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CA Huracán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
HUR
2 - 4
TAL
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
ARS
0 - 0
HUR
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
HUR
1 - 1
EST
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
HUR
0 - 6
RIV
18%
21%
61%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
CHA
3 - 0
HUR
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |