Independiente vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
TAL
0 - 2
IND
36%
28%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
IND
0 - 1
SLO
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
IND
0 - 2
ATT
59%
24%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
TIG
1 - 1
IND
30%
28%
42%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
IND
1 - 0
MIL
55%
25%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 1
BOC
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
BOC
1 - 2
DYJ
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
BOC
1 - 0
JUN
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
BOC
2 - 1
TAL
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ATT
1 - 1
BOC
30%
27%
43%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |