Independiente vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
TAL
0 - 5
IND
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
IND
1 - 2
RAC
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
CEN
1 - 0
IND
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
IND
0 - 1
FER
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1981 |
COL
2 - 1
IND
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1981 |
BEL
1 - 2
BOC
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
BOC
2 - 2
NOB
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
SLO
1 - 2
BOC
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
BOC
2 - 0
CAU
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
SAR
1 - 2
BOC
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |