Independiente vs CA Atlas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
18.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.6%
4.7%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
GLP
1 - 0
IND
25%
27%
48%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
IND
1 - 3
RAC
35%
26%
40%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SMA
1 - 1
IND
25%
27%
48%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
IND
2 - 1
CAU
57%
25%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
SLO
0 - 0
IND
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CA Atlas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
CAA
2 - 2
CES
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
CLA
0 - 0
CAA
35%
26%
40%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CAA
2 - 2
JUU
69%
19%
13%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
ARM
1 - 0
CAA
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
CAA
2 - 0
PUE
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |