Independiente vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
IND
48%
26%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
IND
0 - 1
SLO
46%
28%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2013 |
ARS
1 - 0
IND
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
RIV
2 - 1
IND
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
IND
0 - 0
EST
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
ALM
2 - 0
BRO
40%
29%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
BRO
2 - 0
ALM
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 1
BRO
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
BRO
1 - 1
PLA
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
TEM
0 - 1
BRO
27%
29%
44%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |