Independiente vs Boca Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
IND
3 - 1
SMA
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
LAN
0 - 0
IND
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
TIG
0 - 2
IND
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
IND
3 - 1
ARG
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
RAF
2 - 0
IND
54%
24%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
CDN
3 - 0
BUC
25%
27%
48%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
BUC
3 - 1
DHA
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 1
BUC
40%
29%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BUC
1 - 0
IRV
47%
28%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 0
BUC
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |