Independiente vs Barracas Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TIG
2 - 1
IND
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
IND
1 - 2
CCS
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARS
0 - 1
IND
33%
27%
40%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
IND
0 - 0
TAL
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
IND
1 - 0
NOB
52%
27%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAR
43%
28%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
ALD
2 - 0
BAR
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
GLP
32%
28%
41%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 0
BAR
64%
23%
13%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 1
GOD
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |