Independiente vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
10.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1972 |
IND
2 - 0
SFE
72%
17%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
RAC
1 - 1
IND
41%
26%
34%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1972 |
IND
0 - 2
RIV
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
NOB
5 - 4
IND
46%
26%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1972 |
IND
2 - 0
CEN
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1972 |
CEN
3 - 1
NAC
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1972 |
NAC
0 - 1
SFE
59%
19%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1972 |
NAC
0 - 1
CEN
46%
25%
30%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1972 |
NAC
1 - 1
IND
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1972 |
SFE
1 - 1
NAC
52%
21%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |