Intercontinental Final
Global 1-2
Independiente vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
13.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1975 |
VEL
1 - 2
IND
52%
24%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1975 |
IND
2 - 0
EST
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
RAC
1 - 5
IND
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1975 |
IND
3 - 2
ARG
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
SLO
1 - 1
IND
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1975 |
ATM
2 - 0
ATH
71%
19%
11%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
ZAR
3 - 1
ATM
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
ATM
1 - 1
RMA
51%
25%
25%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
MUR
3 - 1
ATM
35%
30%
35%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
ATM
3 - 0
ELC
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |