Independiente vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
HUR
0 - 2
IND
40%
26%
35%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
IND
1 - 2
RIV
28%
24%
48%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
CHA
2 - 6
IND
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
IND
7 - 1
COL
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
VEL
1 - 2
IND
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
ARS
3 - 0
TAL
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
EST
1 - 2
ARS
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
HUR
2 - 2
ARS
70%
18%
11%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
ARS
0 - 0
RIV
14%
20%
66%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
CHA
0 - 1
ARS
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |