Independiente vs Argentinos Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
FER
3 - 1
IND
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
IND
3 - 1
LLG
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
JUU
2 - 5
IND
12%
22%
66%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
IND
4 - 0
SMA
56%
23%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
VEL
3 - 1
IND
48%
25%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
ARG
5 - 1
IRV
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
ATT
2 - 1
ARG
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
VEL
1 - 2
ARG
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
ARG
3 - 0
COL
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
RAC
2 - 2
ARG
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |