Independiente vs Argentinos Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1977 |
NOB
1 - 2
IND
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
IND
0 - 0
RAC
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
CHA
0 - 3
IND
36%
28%
37%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1977 |
IND
5 - 1
PLA
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
QUI
0 - 0
IND
45%
26%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1977 |
ARG
5 - 2
ATL
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
LAN
1 - 1
ARG
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
ARG
1 - 0
EST
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1977 |
BAN
2 - 1
ARG
58%
22%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
ARG
3 - 0
VEL
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |