Independiente vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
11%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
BEL
0 - 0
IND
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
RAC
0 - 2
IND
30%
27%
44%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
IND
2 - 2
NOB
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
GLP
3 - 2
IND
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
IND
3 - 1
CAU
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
ALM
1 - 3
CEN
15%
22%
64%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
ALM
2 - 1
COL
17%
23%
61%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
VEL
2 - 3
ALM
86%
11%
3%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
ALM
4 - 5
RIV
6%
17%
77%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
LAN
1 - 1
ALM
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |