Independiente Villa Obrera vs Sportivo Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Villa Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
LCY
1 - 0
IND
45%
23%
31%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
IND
1 - 1
ACJ
56%
22%
23%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
IND
0 - 0
JUV
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
IND
28%
23%
48%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CEC
1 - 0
IND
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SPE
3 - 0
DES
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TRI
2 - 0
SPE
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 0
ATE
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LCY
0 - 1
SPE
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SPE
2 - 1
ACJ
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |