Independente SE vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
31.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
AMP
2 - 3
INS
51%
21%
28%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
INS
1 - 1
REC
53%
21%
26%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
REC
1 - 1
INS
20%
19%
61%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
INS
0 - 3
AMP
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 2
INS
29%
22%
50%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
AMA
3 - 1
BOQ
30%
23%
47%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AMP
4 - 1
AMA
52%
21%
27%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 3
AMP
29%
22%
50%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
BOQ
3 - 4
AMA
58%
21%
22%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 2
INS
29%
22%
50%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |