Indep. Rivadavia vs Villa San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
BAN
4 - 0
IRV
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
IRV
1 - 2
HUR
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
IRV
1 - 2
ALM
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
IRV
1 - 1
DHA
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
ATT
1 - 1
IRV
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
VSC
0 - 2
ATT
27%
30%
43%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ALD
3 - 0
VSC
62%
24%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
VSC
0 - 2
BUC
24%
26%
49%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BRO
2 - 1
VSC
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VSC
1 - 0
PAT
29%
30%
41%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |