Indep. Rivadavia vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
11.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 0
IRV
34%
29%
38%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
IRV
1 - 0
ALV
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
EST
4 - 1
IRV
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
IRV
3 - 0
DEP
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 1
IRV
35%
29%
37%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 1
QUI
19%
25%
56%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MAI
1 - 0
CHI
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 3
ALM
25%
29%
47%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 0
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 0
EST
21%
29%
50%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |