Indep. Rivadavia vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
44.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FER
2 - 1
IRV
52%
28%
20%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
IRV
0 - 1
CCS
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
GOD
1 - 0
IRV
77%
15%
7%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
JUU
1 - 1
IRV
34%
29%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
IRV
0 - 0
DAL
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
INS
2 - 0
CSE
54%
25%
20%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
DHA
2 - 0
INS
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
INS
0 - 1
PAR
64%
23%
14%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GIM
0 - 0
INS
30%
29%
41%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
PAT
3 - 1
INS
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |