Indep. Rivadavia vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
27%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
CCS
1 - 3
IRV
35%
29%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
IRV
4 - 2
GIM
61%
24%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
BUC
0 - 0
IRV
43%
29%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
QUI
3 - 0
IRV
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
IRV
1 - 0
AND
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
FER
1 - 0
GAF
44%
31%
25%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
FER
41%
29%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
FER
3 - 3
AND
35%
30%
35%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
FER
2 - 0
RSA
28%
30%
42%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
INS
0 - 0
FER
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |