Indep. Rivadavia vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
IRV
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
IRV
0 - 1
QUI
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
IRV
1 - 3
RIV
30%
29%
41%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
ALM
2 - 0
IRV
45%
28%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
INS
1 - 0
IRV
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FER
1 - 0
ALM
44%
30%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
BUC
1 - 1
FER
45%
27%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
FER
2 - 0
GBR
42%
29%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
GIM
0 - 0
FER
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
CAU
1 - 0
FER
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |