Indep. Rivadavia vs Deportivo Morón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
31.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CAG
0 - 2
IRV
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
IRV
1 - 1
ALM
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
RSA
0 - 1
IRV
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
IRV
1 - 1
DEF
35%
30%
35%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
STM
1 - 0
IRV
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 0
BAR
42%
30%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
INS
2 - 1
MOR
44%
27%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 0
GIM
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SUA
2 - 0
MOR
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 0
FER
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |