Indep. Rivadavia vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
QUI
7 - 1
IRV
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
RIV
3 - 0
IRV
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
IRV
3 - 1
ALM
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
IRV
1 - 3
BUC
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
GBR
2 - 0
IRV
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
MER
0 - 0
ALM
41%
31%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 1
MER
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
MER
2 - 1
GBR
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MER
3 - 1
GIM
39%
30%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2011 |
INS
2 - 1
MER
55%
28%
18%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |