Indep. Rivadavia vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
35.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2010 |
CEN
1 - 1
IRV
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
IRV
1 - 1
SMA
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
BEL
3 - 0
IRV
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
IRV
0 - 1
SMA
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2010 |
ALM
2 - 2
IRV
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
RAF
2 - 0
CHA
56%
25%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
MER
1 - 0
RAF
21%
29%
50%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
RAF
3 - 0
FER
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
CAI
0 - 0
RAF
30%
28%
42%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
PAT
0 - 1
RAF
26%
28%
47%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |