Primera Nacional Last 16
Global 1-2
Indep. Rivadavia vs Almirante Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 1
IRV
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
IRV
2 - 1
BRO
49%
27%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
GBR
0 - 2
IRV
33%
28%
38%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
IRV
3 - 2
RAF
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
IRV
2 - 2
ALB
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
ALM
3 - 2
ALV
44%
30%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
TIG
3 - 1
ALM
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 0
QUI
34%
30%
37%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
AGR
3 - 1
ALM
37%
30%
34%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 0
MAI
57%
27%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |