Independiente II vs Sarmiento II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
ALD
0 - 1
IND
30%
25%
46%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
IND
4 - 3
GLP
25%
24%
51%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
VEL
0 - 1
IND
63%
20%
17%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
IND
0 - 2
GOC
57%
23%
21%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
HUR
2 - 2
IND
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 0
CAU
34%
25%
42%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
SAR
0 - 0
ALD
47%
23%
29%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
GLP
2 - 0
SAR
63%
21%
16%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SAR
0 - 2
VEL
31%
25%
45%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
GOC
0 - 2
SAR
34%
25%
41%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |