Independiente II vs River Plate II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
BRC
1 - 2
IND
23%
21%
56%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
IND
1 - 2
ARG
37%
27%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
RAC
37%
26%
37%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
ACC
1 - 0
IND
25%
21%
54%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
ROC
39%
25%
36%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 0
COL
62%
22%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
TAL
1 - 1
RIV
56%
22%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
RIV
1 - 1
BOC
28%
26%
46%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
RIV
0 - 2
BAN
50%
25%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 2
RIV
23%
24%
53%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |